Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nchanga Rangers: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nakambala Stadium, Mazabuka
The Footlab model makes Man Utd Zambia Academy the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Nchanga Rangers. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nchanga Rangers?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Man Utd Zambia Academy (1,583) and Nchanga Rangers (1,534).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Man Utd Zambia Academy have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Nchanga Rangers have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Nkwazi(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Nkana(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Konkola Blades(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nkana(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Nkwazi(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Man Utd Zambia Academy win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nchanga Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy 2-1 Nchanga Rangers | Super League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Nchanga Rangers 1-0 Man Utd Zambia Academy | Super League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Man Utd Zambia Academy 2-0 Nchanga Rangers | Super League |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Nchanga Rangers 3-0 Man Utd Zambia Academy | Super League |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Nchanga Rangers 1-1 Man Utd Zambia Academy | Super League |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Man Utd Zambia Academy 2-0 Nchanga Rangers | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nchanga Rangers on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Man Utd Zambia Academy score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nchanga Rangers score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man Utd Zambia Academy | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Nchanga Rangers | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Man Utd Zambia Academy sit 3rd in Super League (51 points from 34 matches) and Nchanga Rangers sit 5th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | Nchanga Rangers | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nchanga Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Man Utd Zambia Academy the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Nchanga Rangers.
- Where and when is Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nchanga Rangers played?
- Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nchanga Rangers is played on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nakambala Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.