Match

ZESCO United vs Nkwazi: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola

ZESCO UnitedNkwazi

The Footlab model makes ZESCO United the favourite at 56%, against 30% for a draw and 15% for Nkwazi. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ZESCO United vs Nkwazi?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate ZESCO United (1,621) and Nkwazi (1,531).

ZESCO United win56 %
Draw30 %
Nkwazi win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ZESCO United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nkwazi have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ZESCO United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Zanaco(home)6-1Super League
May 20, 2026Mines(away)2-1Super League
May 16, 2026Kabwe Warriors(away)1-0Super League
May 13, 2026Nkana(home)0-1Super League
May 7, 2026Green Eagles(away)0-1Super League
Nkwazi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Prison Leopards(away)0-1Super League
May 20, 2026Man Utd Zambia Academy(away)1-0Super League
May 17, 2026Kansanshi Dynamos(home)1-0Super League
May 3, 2026ZESCO United(home)1-1Super League
Apr 29, 2026Nchanga Rangers(away)0-1Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ZESCO United win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Nkwazi win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Nkwazi 1-1 ZESCO UnitedSuper League
Dec 6, 2025ZESCO United 0-1 NkwaziSuper League
Jan 12, 2025Nkwazi 2-2 ZESCO UnitedSuper League
Sep 18, 2024ZESCO United 1-1 NkwaziSuper League
Jan 13, 2024ZESCO United 2-0 NkwaziSuper League
Sep 2, 2023Nkwazi 1-0 ZESCO UnitedSuper League

Last archived meeting: Nkwazi vs ZESCO United on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

ZESCO United score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nkwazi score 0.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
ZESCO United1.20.957/154/15
Nkwazi0.60.954/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ZESCO United sit 10th in Super League (47 points from 34 matches) and Nkwazi sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10ZESCO United3413813393047
14Nkwazi3481313212837

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ZESCO United vs Nkwazi?
The Footlab model makes ZESCO United the favourite at 56%, against 30% for a draw and 15% for Nkwazi.
Where and when is ZESCO United vs Nkwazi played?
ZESCO United vs Nkwazi is played on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: ZESCO United and Nkwazi

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