Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nkana: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nakambala Stadium, Mazabuka
The Footlab model makes Man Utd Zambia Academy the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for Nkana. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nkana?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Man Utd Zambia Academy (1,583) and Nkana (1,561).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Man Utd Zambia Academy have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Nkana have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Nkwazi(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Nkana(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | ZESCO United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Man Utd Zambia Academy win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nkana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Nkana 1-2 Man Utd Zambia Academy | Super League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy 0-1 Nkana | Super League |
| May 3, 2025 | Man Utd Zambia Academy 5-2 Nkana | Super League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Nkana 2-0 Man Utd Zambia Academy | Super League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Man Utd Zambia Academy 0-1 Nkana | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Nkana 1-1 Man Utd Zambia Academy | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Nkana vs Man Utd Zambia Academy on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Man Utd Zambia Academy score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nkana score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man Utd Zambia Academy | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Nkana | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Man Utd Zambia Academy sit 3rd in Super League (51 points from 34 matches) and Nkana sit 13th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 30 | 51 |
| 13 | Nkana | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 23 | 30 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nkana?
- The Footlab model makes Man Utd Zambia Academy the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for Nkana.
- Where and when is Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nkana played?
- Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Nkana is played on November 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nakambala Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 18, 2026Green EaglesvsGreen Buffaloes
- Nov 18, 2026Mufulira WanderersvsKabwe Warriors
- Nov 18, 2026NkwazivsMutondo Stars
- Nov 18, 2026Power DynamosvsZanaco
- Nov 18, 2026ZESCO UnitedvsRed Arrows
- Nov 18, 2026Konkola BladesvsNchanga Rangers
- Nov 18, 2026Kansanshi DynamosvsTrident
- Nov 18, 2026Roan UnitedvsChirundu Utd