ZESCO United vs Red Arrows: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
The Footlab model makes ZESCO United the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Red Arrows. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ZESCO United vs Red Arrows?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate ZESCO United (1,621) and Red Arrows (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ZESCO United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Red Arrows have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 6-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Mines(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Nkana(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 7, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Green Buffaloes(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 14, 2026 | Green Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 6, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 ZESCO United win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Red Arrows win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Red Arrows 3-1 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | ZESCO United 3-1 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ZESCO United 1-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Red Arrows 2-0 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Red Arrows 2-0 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Nov 8, 2023 | ZESCO United 1-0 Red Arrows | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Red Arrows vs ZESCO United on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ZESCO United score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Red Arrows score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZESCO United | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Red Arrows | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ZESCO United sit 10th in Super League (47 points from 34 matches) and Red Arrows sit 2nd (63 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Red Arrows | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 63 |
| 10 | ZESCO United | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 30 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ZESCO United vs Red Arrows?
- The Footlab model makes ZESCO United the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Red Arrows.
- Where and when is ZESCO United vs Red Arrows played?
- ZESCO United vs Red Arrows is played on November 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Nov 18, 2026Power DynamosvsZanaco
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