Manchester City U21 vs Manchester United U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Academy Stadium, Manchester
The Footlab model makes Manchester City U21 the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Manchester United U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manchester City U21 vs Manchester United U21?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Manchester City U21 (1,950) and Manchester United U21 (1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester City U21 have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Manchester United U21 have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 4-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| May 8, 2026 | Manchester United U21(home) | 3-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| May 1, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(away) | 3-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Arsenal U21(home) | 3-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 5-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Brighton U21(away) | 0-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| May 8, 2026 | Manchester City U21(away) | 4-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| May 4, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(away) | 2-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Manchester City U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Manchester United U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Manchester City U21 3-4 Manchester United U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Manchester United U21 2-1 Manchester City U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| May 9, 2025 | Manchester City U21 2-0 Manchester United U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Manchester United U21 1-3 Manchester City U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Manchester United U21 2-1 Manchester City U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Manchester City U21 6-0 Manchester United U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
Last archived meeting: Manchester City U21 vs Manchester United U21 on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester City U21 score 3.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City U21 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
| Manchester United U21 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manchester City U21 sit 3rd in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 1 matches) and Manchester United U21 sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manchester City U21 vs Manchester United U21?
- The Footlab model makes Manchester City U21 the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Manchester United U21.
- Where and when is Manchester City U21 vs Manchester United U21 played?
- Manchester City U21 vs Manchester United U21 is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Academy Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U212-1Brighton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Fulham U214-3Burnley U21
- Aug 21, 2026Everton U211-1Liverpool U21
- Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U210-0Southampton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Stoke City U212-3Brentford U21
- Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U212-1Chelsea U21
- Aug 21, 2026Leicester City U21vsBlackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 22, 2026Arsenal U211-1Crystal Palace U21