Match

Manchester United U21 vs Chelsea U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on February 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Old Trafford, Manchester

Manchester United U21Chelsea U21

The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Chelsea U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Manchester United U21 vs Chelsea U21?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Manchester United U21 (1,915) and Chelsea U21 (1,860).

Manchester United U21 win49 %
Draw22 %
Chelsea U21 win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester United U21 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Chelsea U21 have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Manchester United U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)5-0Premier League 2 Division One
Jul 31, 2026Altrincham(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Brighton U21(away)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
May 8, 2026Manchester City U21(away)4-3Premier League 2 Division One
May 4, 2026Crystal Palace U21(away)2-0Premier League 2 Division One
Chelsea U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Bristol Rovers(away)2-2EFL Trophy
Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U21(away)1-2Premier League 2 Division One
Jul 21, 2026Cardiff City U21(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 25, 2026Middlesbrough U21(home)1-0Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Manchester United U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Chelsea U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 2, 2026Manchester United U21 0-2 Chelsea U21Premier League 2 Division One
Feb 21, 2025Chelsea U21 2-0 Manchester United U21Premier League 2 Division One
Jan 12, 2024Chelsea U21 3-2 Manchester United U21Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 6, 2023Manchester United U21 1-3 Chelsea U21Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 15, 2022Chelsea U21 3-3 Manchester United U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Manchester United U21 vs Chelsea U21 on Mar 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Manchester United U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chelsea U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Manchester United U211.91.439/158/15
Chelsea U212.31.269/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Manchester United U21 sit 1st in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 1 matches) and Chelsea U21 sit 24th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Manchester United U211100503
24Chelsea U211001120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Manchester United U21 vs Chelsea U21?
The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Chelsea U21.
Where and when is Manchester United U21 vs Chelsea U21 played?
Manchester United U21 vs Chelsea U21 is played on February 15, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Old Trafford, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Manchester United U21 and Chelsea U21

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