Match

Mandel United vs Thes Sport: prediction and stats

First Amateur DivisionVV - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Skyline Arena, Izegem

Mandel UnitedThes Sport

The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Thes Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mandel United vs Thes Sport?

Mandel United starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,986 vs 1,874).

Mandel United win53 %
Draw23 %
Thes Sport win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mandel United have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Thes Sport have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mandel United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026VW Hamme(home)1-1Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Apr 19, 2026HO Kalken(away)2-0Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 28, 2026Mechelen II(away)2-1Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 21, 2026Zulte Waregem II(home)2-2Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Mar 14, 2026FC Lebbeke(away)0-0Second Amateur Division - VFV A
Thes Sport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026K. Lierse S.K.(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 1, 2026St. Truiden(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 26, 2026Roeselare Daisel(away)1-3First Amateur Division
Apr 19, 2026Diegem Sport(home)6-3First Amateur Division
Apr 11, 2026Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away)2-1First Amateur Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Mandel United win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Thes Sport win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2023Thes Sport 6-0 Mandel UnitedFirst Amateur Division
Sep 24, 2022Mandel United 0-2 Thes SportFirst Amateur Division
Feb 19, 2022Thes Sport 1-1 Mandel UnitedFirst Amateur Division
Nov 20, 2021Mandel United 2-3 Thes SportFirst Amateur Division
Oct 17, 2020Mandel United 1-3 Thes SportFirst Amateur Division

Last archived meeting: Thes Sport vs Mandel United on Apr 29, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Mandel United score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Thes Sport score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mandel United1.70.776/157/15
Thes Sport1.81.6211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Thes Sport1264213622

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mandel United vs Thes Sport?
The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Thes Sport.
Where and when is Mandel United vs Thes Sport played?
Mandel United vs Thes Sport is played on March 20, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Skyline Arena, in the First Amateur Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mandel United and Thes Sport

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