Thes Sport vs Mandel United: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 12Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportcentrum Tessenderlo, Tessenderlo
The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Thes Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thes Sport vs Mandel United?
Mandel United starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,986 vs 1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thes Sport have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mandel United have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 6-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | VW Hamme(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | HO Kalken(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Mechelen II(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | FC Lebbeke(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Thes Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mandel United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2023 | Thes Sport 6-0 Mandel United | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Mandel United 0-2 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Thes Sport 1-1 Mandel United | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Mandel United 2-3 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Mandel United 1-3 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Thes Sport vs Mandel United on Apr 29, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Thes Sport score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mandel United score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thes Sport | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Mandel United | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thes Sport | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thes Sport vs Mandel United?
- The Footlab model makes Mandel United the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Thes Sport.
- Where and when is Thes Sport vs Mandel United played?
- Thes Sport vs Mandel United is played on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcentrum Tessenderlo, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.