Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Joseph Kabila Kabange, Kindu
The Footlab AI model makes Maniema Union the favourite at 63%, against 25% for a draw and 12% for Étoile du Congo. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,855 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo?
Maniema Union starts as the favourite with a 297-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,551).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maniema Union
5-4-1- 36B. Namboka
- 10C. Pitroipa
- 8O. Sangana
- 6Jordi Mukoko
- 14J. Kabamba
- 15L. Dieu
- 3J. Mpindi
- 13A. Bokomboli
- 23E. Moanda
- 22E. Tumbola
- 30D. Ogundare
Étoile du Congo
4-3-3- 11Judea Mouandzibi
- 8Gautrand Charden Meil Ngouonimba
- 9Ferdinand Rochel Kivouri
- 21Sagesse Babélé
- 10M. Nkounkou
- 7Joseph Mbangou
- 5Cervelie Ikouma Epoyo
- 17Dorvel Dibekou
- 4Julfin Ondongo
- 20Dalvidi Joel Mack Ondzani
- 16Daniel Chansel Massa Mohikola
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maniema Union have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Étoile du Congo have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kabuscorp(away) | 4-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | JSK(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Vita Club(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Diables Noirs(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CARA Brazzaville(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JS Talangaï(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Avenir(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | AS Penarol(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Maniema Union score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Étoile du Congo score 1.6 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maniema Union | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Étoile du Congo | 1.6 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maniema Union | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38 | 10 | 52 |
A question about Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maniema Union the favourite at 63%, against 25% for a draw and 12% for Étoile du Congo.
- Where and when is Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo played?
- Maniema Union vs Étoile du Congo is played on October 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Joseph Kabila Kabange, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.