Manresa vs Castellón II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Congost, Manresa
The Footlab model makes Manresa the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Castellón II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manresa vs Castellón II?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Manresa (1,840) and Castellón II (1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manresa have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Castellón II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sant Andreu(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vilanova(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grama(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | SD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | SD Logroñés(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Girona II(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Manresa score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón II score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manresa | 1.6 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Castellón II | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manresa vs Castellón II?
- The Footlab model makes Manresa the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Castellón II.
- Where and when is Manresa vs Castellón II played?
- Manresa vs Castellón II is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Congost, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.