Mara Sugar vs Nairobi United: result 0-1 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 1, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Green Stadium, Awendo
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What was the result of Mara Sugar vs Nairobi United?
Nairobi United won 0-1 on October 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 50′O. OchiengNairobi United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mara Sugar have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Nairobi United have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Homeboyz(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 0-1 | Shield Cup |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 1-4 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Nairobi United(away) | 1-1 | Shield Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | NEC(home) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | NEC(away) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Jun 29, 2025 | GOR Mahia(away) | 2-1 | Shield Cup |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Naivas(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Jun 14, 2025 | MOFA(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Mara Sugar win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Nairobi United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2025 | Nairobi United 1-1 Mara Sugar | Shield Cup |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Mara Sugar 1-0 Nairobi United | Super League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Nairobi United 0-2 Mara Sugar | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar on Jun 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mara Sugar score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nairobi United score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mara Sugar | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Nairobi United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mara Sugar sit 11th in FKF Premier League (44 points from 34 matches) and Nairobi United sit 4th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 53 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy