Mara Sugar vs Nairobi United: result 0-1 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 1, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Green Stadium, Awendo
Full time
What was the result of Mara Sugar vs Nairobi United?
Nairobi United won 0-1 on October 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 50′O. OchiengNairobi United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mara Sugar have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Nairobi United have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Homeboyz(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 0-1 | Shield Cup |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 1-4 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Nairobi United(away) | 1-1 | Shield Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | NEC(home) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | NEC(away) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Jun 29, 2025 | GOR Mahia(away) | 2-1 | Shield Cup |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Naivas(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Jun 14, 2025 | MOFA(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Mara Sugar wins, 1 draw, 0 Nairobi United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2025 | Nairobi United 1-1 Mara Sugar | Shield Cup |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Mara Sugar 1-0 Nairobi United | Super League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Nairobi United 0-2 Mara Sugar | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar on Jun 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mara Sugar score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nairobi United score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mara Sugar | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Nairobi United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mara Sugar sit 11th in FKF Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Nairobi United sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Nairobi United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
A question about Mara Sugar vs Nairobi United?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy