3K vs Nairobi United: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Nairobi United the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for 3K. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 3K vs Nairobi United?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate 3K (1,480) and Nairobi United (1,544).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 3K have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Nairobi United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Migori Youth(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Talanta(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 23, 2026 | Equity Bank(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Kibera Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 3K win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nairobi United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2025 | Nairobi United 2-1 3K | Super League |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 3K 0-0 Nairobi United | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
3K score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nairobi United score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3K | 1.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Nairobi United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 3K vs Nairobi United?
- The Footlab model makes Nairobi United the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for 3K.
- Where and when is 3K vs Nairobi United played?
- 3K vs Nairobi United is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.