Marbella vs Tenerife II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, Marbella
The Footlab AI model makes Marbella the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Tenerife II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marbella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marbella vs Tenerife II?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Marbella (1,802) and Tenerife II (1,860).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marbella vs Tenerife II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marbella
4-3-3- 19E. Ohemeng
- 24D. Selma
- 11Pablo Moreno
- 22J. Rodriguez
- 36D. Revuelta
- 35I. Gonzalez
- 23Alberto Escassi
- 4Adri Castellano
- 15Gabri Clemente
- 31D. Pineda
- 1Manu García
Tenerife II
4-3-3- 37Cacho
- 27Alassán
- CChristian Hernández
- 28Dylan
- AAntonio Arcos
- 19Félix Alonso
- DD. Gouveia
- 33Marcos Otero
- DD. Mena
- 32Daniel Fernández
- 42Aarón Rodríguez
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 09:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbella have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Tenerife II have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Badajoz(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Las Palmas II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marbella score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife II score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbella | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Tenerife II | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marbella sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (6 points from 8 matches) and Tenerife II sit 12th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tenerife II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
| 15 | Marbella | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Marbella vs Tenerife II?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marbella vs Tenerife II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marbella the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Tenerife II.
- Where and when is Marbella vs Tenerife II played?
- Marbella vs Tenerife II is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Antonio Lorenzo Cuevas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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