Where and when is Xerez vs Atlético Central played?

Xerez vs Atlético Central is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Xerez vs Atlético Central: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera

Xerez

Atlético Central

The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Atlético Central. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Xerez vs Atlético Central?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Xerez (1,930) and Atlético Central (1,856).

Xerez win50 %

Draw29 %

Atlético Central win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Atlético Central have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Xerez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portuense(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Conquense(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Conquense(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Ucam Murcia(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Atlético Central
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	Caudal(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Caudal(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Dos Hermanas(away)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 31, 2026	Dos Hermanas(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 23, 2026	Bollullos(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

How many goals should we expect?

Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Central score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Xerez	0.7	0.5	8	4/15	2/15
Atlético Central	1.2	0.7	7	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Xerez	34	17	8	9	32	24	59

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Atlético Central?: The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Atlético Central.
Where and when is Xerez vs Atlético Central played?: Xerez vs Atlético Central is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.