Marchamalo vs Socuéllamos: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Deportivo La Solana, Marchamalo
The Footlab model makes Marchamalo the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Socuéllamos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marchamalo vs Socuéllamos?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Marchamalo (1,705) and Socuéllamos (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marchamalo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Socuéllamos have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Sonseca(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Azuqueca(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Villarrubia(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Las Palmas II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Marchamalo win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Socuéllamos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Marchamalo 0-3 Socuéllamos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Socuéllamos 1-0 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Socuéllamos 3-0 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Marchamalo 0-0 Socuéllamos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Socuéllamos 1-0 Marchamalo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Marchamalo 1-2 Socuéllamos | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Marchamalo vs Socuéllamos on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Marchamalo score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Socuéllamos score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marchamalo | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Socuéllamos | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 | 45 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marchamalo vs Socuéllamos?
- The Footlab model makes Marchamalo the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Socuéllamos.
- Where and when is Marchamalo vs Socuéllamos played?
- Marchamalo vs Socuéllamos is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Deportivo La Solana, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.