Marcílio Dias vs Hercílio Luz: result 0-1 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 9Kick-off on October 29, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí, Santa Catarina
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What was the result of Marcílio Dias vs Hercílio Luz?
Hercílio Luz won 0-1 on October 29, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 85′?Hercílio Luz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marcílio Dias have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Hercílio Luz have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Figueirense(away) | 2-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Internacional SC(home) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Nação(away) | 6-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Barra(home) | 2-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Avaí B(away) | 3-4 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2023 | Joinville(home) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Barra(home) | 2-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Chapecoense B(away) | 0-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Avaí B(home) | 3-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Concórdia(home) | 2-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Marcílio Dias win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hercílio Luz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | Marcílio Dias 0-2 Hercílio Luz | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Marcílio Dias 0-0 Hercílio Luz | Catarinense - 1 |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Hercílio Luz 1-0 Marcílio Dias | Catarinense - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Marcílio Dias vs Hercílio Luz on Jan 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Marcílio Dias score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hercílio Luz score 2.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcílio Dias | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hercílio Luz | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy