Marcílio Dias vs Hercílio Luz: result 0-1 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 9Kick-off on October 29, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Marcílio Dias vs Hercílio Luz?
Hercílio Luz won 0-1 on October 29, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 85′?Hercílio Luz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marcílio Dias have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Hercílio Luz have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Figueirense(away) | 2-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Internacional SC(home) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Nação(away) | 6-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Barra(home) | 2-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Avaí B(away) | 3-4 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2023 | Joinville(home) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Barra(home) | 2-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Chapecoense B(away) | 0-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Avaí B(home) | 3-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Concórdia(home) | 2-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Marcílio Dias wins, 1 draw, 2 Hercílio Luz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | Marcílio Dias 0-2 Hercílio Luz | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Marcílio Dias 0-0 Hercílio Luz | Catarinense - 1 |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Hercílio Luz 1-0 Marcílio Dias | Catarinense - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Marcílio Dias vs Hercílio Luz on Jan 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Marcílio Dias score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hercílio Luz score 2.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcílio Dias | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hercílio Luz | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Marcílio Dias vs Hercílio Luz?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy