Marcílio Dias vs Hercílio Luz: result 1-3 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on October 2, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí, Santa Catarina
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What was the result of Marcílio Dias vs Hercílio Luz?
Hercílio Luz won 1-3 on October 2, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 13′?Marcílio Dias
- 37′Caio ManchaHercílio Luz (pen.)
- 78′Matheus HenriqueHercílio Luz
- 82′VitinhoHercílio Luz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marcílio Dias have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Hercílio Luz have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | Joinville(away) | 2-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Chapecoense B(home) | 2-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Barra(away) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Nação(home) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Brusque(home) | 0-0 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Nação(home) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Figueirense(away) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Chapecoense B(away) | 0-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Barra(home) | 2-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Cianorte(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marcílio Dias win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Hercílio Luz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Hercílio Luz 2-0 Marcílio Dias | Catarinense - 1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Hercílio Luz 0-2 Marcílio Dias | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Marcílio Dias 0-2 Hercílio Luz | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Marcílio Dias 0-1 Hercílio Luz | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Marcílio Dias 0-2 Hercílio Luz | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Marcílio Dias 0-0 Hercílio Luz | Catarinense - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Hercílio Luz vs Marcílio Dias on Feb 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Marcílio Dias score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hercílio Luz score 0.9 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcílio Dias | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Hercílio Luz | 0.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy