Mariehamn vs Gnistan: result 2-5 and analysis
VeikkausliigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 9, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Wiklöf Holding Arena, Maarianhamina (Mariehamn), Ahvenanmaa (Åland)
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What was the result of Mariehamn vs Gnistan?
Gnistan won 2-5 on August 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′E. Arko-MensahGnistan
- 15′R. GnanouGnistan
- 51′E. OkerekeMariehamn
- 53′A. AtarahGnistan
- 62′J. LatonenGnistan (pen.)
- 68′R. GnanouGnistan
- 71′M. OlawaleMariehamn
Official lineup for Mariehamn vs Gnistan
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mariehamn
4-1-4-1- 7K. Adedoyin
- 11J. Reid
- 8S. Dahlström
- 20E. Patut
- 18M. Olawale
- 6N. Kujasalo
- 33D. Enqvist
- 4P. Lindgren
- 30E. Okereke
- 28J. Nissinen
- 32M. Riikonen
Gnistan
4-3-3- 14A. Oura
- 10J. Latonen
- 20A. Atarah
- 16M. Ritari
- 28A. Kabashi
- 4O. Pettersson
- 12E. Arko-Mensah
- 40J. Ojala
- 24R. Gnanou
- 3S. Heiskanen
- 1Á. Craninx
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mariehamn have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Gnistan have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2025 | VPS(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | AC Oulu(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Haka(home) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 6, 2025 | FF Jaro(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2025 | Ilves(away) | 2-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 28, 2025 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 2-4 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 20, 2025 | SJK(away) | 1-3 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Haka(home) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 7, 2025 | Kooteepee(away) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mariehamn wins, 2 draws, 4 Gnistan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Gnistan 2-0 Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Gnistan 4-0 Mariehamn | League Cup |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Gnistan 2-1 Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Gnistan 2-1 Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| May 26, 2024 | Mariehamn 1-1 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Mariehamn 0-0 Gnistan | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Mariehamn score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gnistan score 1.6 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariehamn | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Gnistan | 1.6 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mariehamn sit 6th in Veikkausliiga (19 points from 27 matches) and Gnistan sit 5th (43 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GnistanChampion Group | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 43 |
| 6 | MariehamnRelegration Group | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 49 | 19 |
A question about Mariehamn vs Gnistan?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy