Marília vs Comercial: result 2-2 and analysis
Copa Paulista1st Round - 6Kick-off on August 5, 2023 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Bento de Abreu Sampaio Vidal, Marília, São Paulo
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What was the result of Marília vs Comercial?
Marília and Comercial drew 2-2 on August 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 5′Jerffeson RecifeMarília (o.g.)
- 33′Neto AcaráComercial
- 40′João MarcosMarília
- 90′Thiago MouraComercial (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marília have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Comercial have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2023 | Mirassol B(home) | 0-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Noroeste(away) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Grêmio Prudente(home) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Sao Bento(home) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 4, 2023 | Comercial(away) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2023 | Noroeste(home) | 1-3 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Sao Bento(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Mirassol B(home) | 0-3 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Grêmio Prudente(away) | 0-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 4, 2023 | Marília(home) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marília win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Comercial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2023 | Comercial 0-1 Marília | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Marília 0-0 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Comercial 0-2 Marília | Copa Paulista |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Comercial 2-1 Marília | Paulista - A3 |
| May 20, 2021 | Marília 0-0 Comercial | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 14, 2020 | Comercial 3-0 Marília | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marília score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marília | 0.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
| Comercial | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 2, 2023Santo André B0-1Portuguesa
- Aug 4, 2023São Caetano2-0EC São Bernardo
- Aug 5, 2023Primavera SP1-3Oeste
- Aug 5, 2023Grêmio Prudente1-1Noroeste
- Aug 5, 2023São José EC3-2Portuguesa Santista
- Aug 7, 2023Mirassol B2-0Sao Bento
- Aug 8, 2023Ponte Preta B0-1XV de Piracicaba
- Aug 9, 2023Juventus4-3RB Bragantino B