Marília vs Comercial: result 2-0 and analysis
Paulista - A31st Phase - 3Kick-off on January 25, 2025 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Bento de Abreu Sampaio Vidal, Marília, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Marília vs Comercial?
Marília won 2-0 on January 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 41′Lucas LimaMarília
- 72′Lucas LimaMarília (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marília have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Comercial have 2, 9 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | Itapirense(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Bandeirante SP(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Votuporanguense(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Votuporanguense(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Votuporanguense(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | USAC(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | EC Lemense(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Monte Azul(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Monte Azul(home) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Primavera SP(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marília win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Comercial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2023 | Marília 2-2 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 4, 2023 | Comercial 0-1 Marília | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Marília 0-0 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Comercial 0-2 Marília | Copa Paulista |
| Feb 9, 2022 | Comercial 2-1 Marília | Paulista - A3 |
| May 20, 2021 | Marília 0-0 Comercial | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marília score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marília | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Comercial | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marília | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy