Maritimo vs Nacional: result 3-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 31, 2019 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Marítimo, Ilha da Madeira
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What was the result of Maritimo vs Nacional?
Maritimo won 3-2 on March 31, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 5′Edgar CostaMaritimo
- 11′João CamachoNacional (pen.)
- 16′J. TagueuMaritimo (pen.)
- 35′GettersonMaritimo
- 87′B. RóchezNacional (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maritimo have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Nacional have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | FC Porto(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Moreirense(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 4, 2019 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 25, 2019 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Belenenses(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 10, 2019 | Portimonense(away) | 1-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Tondela(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 24, 2019 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Feirense(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maritimo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | Nacional 1-0 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 20, 2017 | Maritimo 0-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 16, 2016 | Nacional 2-0 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Maritimo 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 27, 2015 | Nacional 3-1 Maritimo | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 20, 2015 | Maritimo 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Maritimo score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.0 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritimo | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Nacional | 1.0 | 2.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maritimo sit 4th in Primeira Liga (7 points from 3 matches) and Nacional sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maritimo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy