Marseille vs Arsenal: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 3Kick-off on October 19, 2011 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
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What was the result of Marseille vs Arsenal?
Arsenal won 0-1 on October 19, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 90′A. RamseyArsenal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Arsenal have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | Toulouse(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 28, 2011 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Valenciennes(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Evian TG(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2011 | Sunderland(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Tottenham(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2011 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Bolton(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Shrewsbury(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal score 1.6 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Arsenal | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille sit 25th in UEFA Champions League (9 points from 8 matches) and Arsenal sit 1st (24 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 24 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy