Manchester City vs Villarreal: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 3Kick-off on October 18, 2011 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Full time
What was the result of Manchester City vs Villarreal?
Manchester City won 2-1 on October 18, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 4′Rubén Gracia CalmacheVillarreal
- 43′Carlos Marchena LópezManchester City (o.g.)
- 90′S. AgüeroManchester City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester City have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Villarreal have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | Aston Villa(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Blackburn(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Bayern München(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Everton(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Birmingham(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | Getafe(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Zaragoza(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Napoli(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Mallorca(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester City score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Villarreal | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manchester City sit 8th in UEFA Champions League (16 points from 8 matches) and Villarreal sit 35th (1 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy