Marseille vs Guimaraes: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeagueGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 19, 2017 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
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What was the result of Marseille vs Guimaraes?
Marseille won 2-1 on October 19, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 17′Rafael MartinsGuimaraes
- 28′L. OcamposMarseille
- 76′M. LopezMarseille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Guimaraes have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2017 | Strasbourg(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Nice(away) | 4-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 28, 2017 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Toulouse(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Amiens(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2017 | Vasco da Gama(away) | 6-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Belenenses(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 28, 2017 | Konyaspor(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Maritimo(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 17, 2017 | SC Braga(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes score 1.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 1.8 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Guimaraes | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy