Marseille vs Inter: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions League8th FinalsKick-off on February 22, 2012 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Full time
What was the result of Marseille vs Inter?
Marseille won 1-0 on February 22, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 90′A. AyewMarseille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Inter have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | Valenciennes(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 15, 2012 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 3-1 | Coupe de France |
| Feb 5, 2012 | Lyon(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 1, 2012 | Nice(home) | 2-1 | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Jan 29, 2012 | Rennes(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2012 | Bologna(home) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Feb 12, 2012 | Novara(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 5, 2012 | AS Roma(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Feb 1, 2012 | Palermo(home) | 4-4 | Serie A |
| Jan 29, 2012 | Lecce(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 2.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Inter score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 2.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Inter | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille sit 25th in UEFA Champions League (9 points from 8 matches) and Inter sit 10th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 15 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy