Napoli vs Chelsea: result 3-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions League8th FinalsKick-off on February 21, 2012 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
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What was the result of Napoli vs Chelsea?
Napoli won 3-1 on February 21, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 27′MataChelsea
- 39′E. LavezziNapoli
- 45′E. CavaniNapoli
- 65′E. LavezziNapoli
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Napoli have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Chelsea have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2012 | Fiorentina(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 13, 2012 | Chievo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 5, 2012 | AC Milan(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 1, 2012 | Cesena(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jan 29, 2012 | Genoa(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | Birmingham(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Feb 11, 2012 | Everton(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 5, 2012 | Manchester United(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2012 | Swansea(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2012 | QPR(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Napoli score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chelsea score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Chelsea | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Napoli sit 30th in UEFA Champions League (8 points from 8 matches) and Chelsea sit 6th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 16 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy