Marseille vs Lyon: result 3-2 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on March 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
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What was the result of Marseille vs Lyon?
Marseille won 3-2 on March 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′C. TolissoLyon
- 52′Igor PaixãoMarseille
- 76′R. HimbertLyon
- 81′P. AubameyangMarseille
- 90′P. AubameyangMarseille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Lyon have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 0-5 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 3-0 | Coupe de France |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Nice(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Nantes(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Laval(home) | 2-0 | Coupe de France |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Lille(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marseille win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Lyon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Lyon 1-0 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Marseille 3-2 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Lyon 2-3 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Lyon 1-0 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Marseille 3-0 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Lyon 1-2 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon score 2.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 2.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Lyon | 2.0 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille sit 1st in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Lyon sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy