Marseille vs Newcastle: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 25, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Full time
What was the result of Marseille vs Newcastle?
Marseille won 2-1 on November 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′H. BarnesNewcastle
- 46′P. AubameyangMarseille
- 50′P. AubameyangMarseille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Newcastle have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | Nice(away) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Atalanta(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Auxerre(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Angers(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Manchester City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Brentford(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Athletic Club(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | West Ham(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Tottenham(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle score 1.8 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Newcastle | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille sit 25th in UEFA Champions League (9 points from 8 matches) and Newcastle sit 12th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 14 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy