Marseille vs Paris FC: result 5-2 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on August 23, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
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What was the result of Marseille vs Paris FC?
Marseille won 5-2 on August 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 18′M. GreenwoodMarseille (pen.)
- 24′P. AubameyangMarseille
- 28′I. KebbalParis FC
- 58′M. SimonParis FC
- 73′P. AubameyangMarseille
- 81′P. HøjbjergMarseille
- 90′R. VazMarseille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Paris FC have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2025 | Rennes(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Aston Villa(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Sevilla(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Olympic Charleroi(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2025 | Rennes(home) | 4-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Angers(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Nantes(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2025 | UNFP(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Le Havre(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Saint Etienne(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paris FC score 1.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Paris FC | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille sit 1st in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Paris FC sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy