Match

Marseille vs Levski Sofia: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille

MarseilleLevski Sofia

The Footlab AI model makes Marseille the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Levski Sofia. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,332 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marseille vs Levski Sofia?

On Elo ratings, Marseille has 2,067 points and Levski Sofia 1,990.

61%23%16%
Marseille winDrawLevski Sofia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Marseille vs Levski Sofia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Marseille

4-2-3-1
  1. 9A. Gouiri
  1. 8H. Abdelli
  2. 77A. Harit
  3. 7A. Gomes
  4. 14Igor Paixão
  5. 23P. Højbjerg
  1. 4C. Egan-Riley
  2. 33Emerson
  3. 22T. Weah
  4. 21N. Aguerd
  1. 12J. de Lange

Levski Sofia

4-2-3-1
  1. 7Reinaldo
  1. 35Serginho
  2. 18G. Trdin
  3. 17Everton Bala
  4. 20Álex Centelles
  5. 19E. El Moubarik
  1. 4C. Makoun
  2. 3Maicon
  3. 21Aldair
  4. 50K. Dimitrov
  1. 92S. Vutsov

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 05:40 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Levski Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marseille
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Estac Troyes(away)2-0Ligue 1
Sep 20, 2026Paris Saint Germain(home)1-2Ligue 1
Sep 17, 2026Beşiktaş(away)1-4UEFA Europa League
Sep 11, 2026Rennes(away)0-1Ligue 1
Sep 6, 2026Paris FC(home)2-3Ligue 1
Levski Sofia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Cherno More Varna(away)2-0First League
Sep 17, 2026Red Bull Salzburg(home)0-1UEFA Europa League
Sep 13, 2026Botev Vratsa(away)0-0First League
Sep 9, 2026CSKA Sofia(home)2-4Super Cup
Sep 5, 2026CSKA 1948(home)1-0First League

How many goals should we expect?

Marseille score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marseille1.41.538/159/15
Levski Sofia1.70.994/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marseille sit 32nd in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Levski Sofia sit 27th (0 points from 1 match).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
27Levski Sofia1001010
32Marseille1001140

A question about Marseille vs Levski Sofia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marseille vs Levski Sofia?
The Footlab AI model makes Marseille the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Levski Sofia.
Where and when is Marseille vs Levski Sofia played?
Marseille vs Levski Sofia is played on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Stade Orange Vélodrome, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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