Maruinense vs Socorro Sport: prediction and stats
Sergipano - 2Regular Season - 3Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Antônio Carlos Valadares, Maruim, Sergipe
The Footlab AI model makes Maruinense the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Socorro Sport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maruinense wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maruinense vs Socorro Sport?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Maruinense (1,326) and Socorro Sport (1,367).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maruinense vs Socorro Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maruinense
4-3-3- GGabriel Andrade
- AAlex Santos Araújo
- AAlex Pernambucano
- MMatheus Felipe de Jesus Alves Lima
- LLuis Fagner da Silva Conceição
- HHebert Henrique de Santana
- EEricon Natan Francisco Guimaraes Souza
- AAdriano Galvão de Melo Júnior
- RRonaldo dos Santos Sousa
- JJhonata Aparecido Nascimento Santos
- WWillian dos Santos Gomes
Socorro Sport
Not enough data to predict the Socorro Sport lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 01:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maruinense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Socorro Sport have 0, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Frei Paulistano(home) | 2-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Socorro Sport(away) | 3-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Rosario Central(home) | 0-2 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Aracaju FC(away) | 1-3 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Flamengo SE(home) | 0-2 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Barra SE(away) | 0-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Maruinense(home) | 0-3 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Aracaju FC(away) | 0-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Flamengo SE(home) | 0-2 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Rosario Central(away) | 0-3 | Sergipano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Maruinense win, 1 draw, 0 Socorro Sport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | Socorro Sport 0-3 Maruinense | Sergipano - 2 |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Maruinense 0-0 Socorro Sport | Sergipano - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Socorro Sport vs Maruinense on Oct 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Maruinense score 0.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Socorro Sport score 0.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maruinense | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Socorro Sport | 0.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 1/9 | 5/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Maruinense vs Socorro Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maruinense vs Socorro Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maruinense the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Socorro Sport.
- Where and when is Maruinense vs Socorro Sport played?
- Maruinense vs Socorro Sport is played on November 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Antônio Carlos Valadares, in the Sergipano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.