Carmópolis vs Caninde: prediction and stats
Sergipano - 2Regular Season - 3Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Caninde the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Carmópolis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caninde wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carmópolis vs Caninde?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Carmópolis (1,417) and Caninde (1,451).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carmópolis vs Caninde
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carmópolis
4-3-3- SSorriso
- AAllan Santos
- WWalisson
- KKennidy
- JJosé Éverton
- PPedro Victor Cardoso Sobral
- DDaniel Santos
- DDudu Paraíba
- TThierry
- FFelipe
- BBruno Mateus
Caninde
Not enough data to predict the Caninde lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 11:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carmópolis have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Caninde have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Flamengo SE(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Guarany SE(away) | 1-2 | Sergipano |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Lagarto(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 15, 2025 | América SE(home) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Falcon(away) | 2-3 | Sergipano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | América de Pedrinhas(away) | 6-1 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Independente Simão Dias(away) | 2-4 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Olímpico SE(home) | 1-7 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Flamengo SE(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | América de Pedrinhas(away) | 3-0 | Sergipano - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Carmópolis score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Caninde score 1.9 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmópolis | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Caninde | 1.9 | 2.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Carmópolis vs Caninde?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carmópolis vs Caninde?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caninde the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Carmópolis.
- Where and when is Carmópolis vs Caninde played?
- Carmópolis vs Caninde is played on November 3, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Sergipano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.