Marumo Gallants U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23: prediction and stats
Diski ChallengeRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane (Pietersburg)
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns U23 the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Marumo Gallants U23. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,709 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marumo Gallants U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23?
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,452).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marumo Gallants U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marumo Gallants U23
Not enough data to predict the Marumo Gallants U23 lineup.
Mamelodi Sundowns U23
Not enough data to predict the Mamelodi Sundowns U23 lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marumo Gallants U23 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Mamelodi Sundowns U23 have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Richards Bay U23(home) | 0-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Stellenbosch U23(home) | 4-5 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs U23(away) | 0-4 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milford FC U23(away) | 4-2 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sekhukhune United U23(home) | 1-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Polokwane City U23(home) | 1-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Chippa United U23(home) | 3-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 18, 2026 | TS Galaxy U23(away) | 2-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kruger United U23(home) | 3-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs U23(away) | 2-4 | Diski Challenge |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Marumo Gallants U23 wins, 0 draws, 6 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 2-0 Marumo Gallants U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Marumo Gallants U23 1-3 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Marumo Gallants U23 1-7 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 4-1 Marumo Gallants U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Marumo Gallants U23 1-6 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 3-1 Marumo Gallants U23 | Diski Challenge |
Last archived meeting: Mamelodi Sundowns U23 vs Marumo Gallants U23 on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marumo Gallants U23 score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns U23 score 2.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marumo Gallants U23 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marumo Gallants U23 sit 13th in Diski Challenge (4 points from 5 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns U23 sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 13 |
| 13 | Marumo Gallants U23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Marumo Gallants U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marumo Gallants U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns U23 the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Marumo Gallants U23.
- Where and when is Marumo Gallants U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23 played?
- Marumo Gallants U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23 is played on May 2, 2027 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, in the Diski Challenge.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027AmaZulu U23vsKruger United U23
- May 1, 2027Kaizer Chiefs U23vsGolden Arrows U23
- May 1, 2027Durban City U23vsChippa United U23
- May 1, 2027Orlando Pirates U23vsTS Galaxy U23
- May 1, 2027Stellenbosch U23vsRichards Bay U23
- May 1, 2027Polokwane City U23vsMilford FC U23
- May 2, 2027Sekhukhune United U23vsSiwelele U23