Richards Bay U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23: prediction and stats
Diski ChallengeRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Mpumalanga Stadium, Mpumalanga
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns U23 the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Richards Bay U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mamelodi Sundowns U23 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,044 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Richards Bay U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23?
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 starts as the favourite with a 262-point Elo edge (1,751 vs 1,490).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Richards Bay U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Richards Bay U23
Not enough data to predict the Richards Bay U23 lineup.
Mamelodi Sundowns U23
Not enough data to predict the Mamelodi Sundowns U23 lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 12:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Richards Bay U23 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Mamelodi Sundowns U23 have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Golden Arrows U23(home) | 0-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs U23(home) | 0-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AmaZulu U23(away) | 0-2 | Diski Challenge |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Milford FC U23(home) | 2-0 | Diski Challenge |
| May 9, 2026 | Sekhukhune United U23(away) | 4-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | TS Galaxy U23(away) | 2-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kruger United U23(home) | 3-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs U23(away) | 2-4 | Diski Challenge |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Durban City U23(away) | 4-2 | Diski Challenge |
| May 9, 2026 | Orlando Pirates U23(away) | 0-2 | Diski Challenge |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Richards Bay U23 win, 1 draw, 4 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Richards Bay U23 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 0-1 Richards Bay U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 0-0 Richards Bay U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Richards Bay U23 0-3 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Richards Bay U23 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 3-1 Richards Bay U23 | Diski Challenge |
Last archived meeting: Richards Bay U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23 on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Richards Bay U23 score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns U23 score 2.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richards Bay U23 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Richards Bay U23 sit 12th in Diski Challenge (3 points from 4 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns U23 sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Richards Bay U23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
A question about Richards Bay U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Richards Bay U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns U23 the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Richards Bay U23.
- Where and when is Richards Bay U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23 played?
- Richards Bay U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23 is played on May 9, 2027 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Mpumalanga Stadium, in the Diski Challenge.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Golden Arrows U23vsDurban City U23
- May 8, 2027TS Galaxy U23vsStellenbosch U23
- May 8, 2027Siwelele U23vsMarumo Gallants U23
- May 8, 2027Kruger United U23vsPolokwane City U23
- May 8, 2027Milford FC U23vsOrlando Pirates U23
- May 9, 2027AmaZulu U23vsKaizer Chiefs U23
- May 9, 2027Sekhukhune United U23vsChippa United U23