Marumo Gallants U23 vs Richards Bay U23: prediction and stats
Diski ChallengeRegular Season - 6Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane (Pietersburg)
The Footlab AI model makes Marumo Gallants U23 the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Richards Bay U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marumo Gallants U23 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marumo Gallants U23 vs Richards Bay U23?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Marumo Gallants U23 (1,458) and Richards Bay U23 (1,508).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marumo Gallants U23 vs Richards Bay U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marumo Gallants U23
Not enough data to predict the Marumo Gallants U23 lineup.
Richards Bay U23
Not enough data to predict the Richards Bay U23 lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marumo Gallants U23 have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Richards Bay U23 have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sekhukhune United U23(home) | 1-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kruger United U23(away) | 0-2 | Diski Challenge |
| May 9, 2026 | Orbit College U23(home) | 4-1 | Diski Challenge |
| May 2, 2026 | Stellenbosch U23(away) | 0-4 | Diski Challenge |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sekhukhune United U23(away) | 0-4 | Diski Challenge |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | AmaZulu U23(away) | 0-2 | Diski Challenge |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Milford FC U23(home) | 2-0 | Diski Challenge |
| May 9, 2026 | Sekhukhune United U23(away) | 4-0 | Diski Challenge |
| May 3, 2026 | Polokwane City U23(home) | 3-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23(home) | 0-2 | Diski Challenge |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Marumo Gallants U23 wins, 3 draws, 3 Richards Bay U23 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Marumo Gallants U23 2-2 Richards Bay U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Richards Bay U23 2-0 Marumo Gallants U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Richards Bay U23 2-1 Marumo Gallants U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Marumo Gallants U23 0-2 Richards Bay U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Marumo Gallants U23 2-2 Richards Bay U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Richards Bay U23 2-2 Marumo Gallants U23 | Diski Challenge |
Last archived meeting: Marumo Gallants U23 vs Richards Bay U23 on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marumo Gallants U23 score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Richards Bay U23 score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marumo Gallants U23 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Richards Bay U23 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marumo Gallants U23 sit 13th in Diski Challenge (1 point from 2 matches) and Richards Bay U23 sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Richards Bay U23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Marumo Gallants U23 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Marumo Gallants U23 vs Richards Bay U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marumo Gallants U23 vs Richards Bay U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marumo Gallants U23 the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Richards Bay U23.
- Where and when is Marumo Gallants U23 vs Richards Bay U23 played?
- Marumo Gallants U23 vs Richards Bay U23 is played on November 1, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, in the Diski Challenge.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026AmaZulu U23vsStellenbosch U23
- Oct 31, 2026Chippa United U23vsMilford FC U23
- Oct 31, 2026Golden Arrows U23vsTS Galaxy U23
- Oct 31, 2026Mamelodi Sundowns U23vsPolokwane City U23
- Oct 31, 2026Orlando Pirates U23vsSekhukhune United U23
- Nov 1, 2026Durban City U23vsKruger United U23
- Nov 1, 2026Siwelele U23vsKaizer Chiefs U23