Mattersburg SV 2020 vs SV Horn: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes SV Horn the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Mattersburg SV 2020. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mattersburg SV 2020 vs SV Horn?
SV Horn starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,717 vs 1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Mattersburg SV 2020 have 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; SV Horn have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scheiblingkirchen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiener Viktoria(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wiener SC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gloggnitz(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | First Vienna(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Donau(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Leobendorf(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wienerberg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fach-Donaufeld(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Mattersburg SV 2020 score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 5; SV Horn score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattersburg SV 2020 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| SV Horn | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mattersburg SV 2020 sit 12th in Regionalliga - Ost (3 points from 4 matches) and SV Horn sit 9th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SV Horn | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | SV Horn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mattersburg SV 2020 vs SV Horn?
- The Footlab model makes SV Horn the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Mattersburg SV 2020.
- Where and when is Mattersburg SV 2020 vs SV Horn played?
- Mattersburg SV 2020 vs SV Horn is played on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.