Wienerberg vs Leobendorf: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wienerberg Arena, Wien
The Footlab model makes Wienerberg the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Leobendorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wienerberg vs Leobendorf?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Wienerberg (1,609) and Leobendorf (1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wienerberg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Leobendorf have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Oberwart(away) | 2-5 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Traiskirchen(home) | 3-4 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SV Horn(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Traiskirchen(away) | 4-5 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Horn(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Parndorf(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SCR Altach(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Wienerberg score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leobendorf score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wienerberg | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Leobendorf | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wienerberg sit 16th in Regionalliga - Ost (0 points from 4 matches) and Leobendorf sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Leobendorf | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Leobendorf | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wienerberg vs Leobendorf?
- The Footlab model makes Wienerberg the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Leobendorf.
- Where and when is Wienerberg vs Leobendorf played?
- Wienerberg vs Leobendorf is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wienerberg Arena, in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.