Mazatlán vs Toluca: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 3Kick-off on January 25, 2025 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlán
Full time
What was the result of Mazatlán vs Toluca?
Mazatlán won 2-1 on January 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 17′F. AlmadaMazatlán
- 19′M. RuizToluca
- 76′L. AmarillaMazatlán
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazatlán have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Toluca have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Toluca(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Tepatitlán(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 9, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 4-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Mazatlán(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Club America(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Club America(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mazatlán win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Mazatlán 1-3 Toluca | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Toluca 3-0 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Mazatlán 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Toluca 4-1 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Mazatlán 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Mazatlán score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazatlán | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Toluca | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy