Mazatlán vs Toluca: result 4-3 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 16Kick-off on April 23, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlán
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What was the result of Mazatlán vs Toluca?
Mazatlán won 4-3 on April 23, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′E. LópezToluca
- 49′B. RubioMazatlán
- 54′A. BriseñoToluca
- 69′Y. BárcenasMazatlán (pen.)
- 75′G. LópezMazatlán
- 87′N. CastroToluca
- 88′J. HernándezMazatlán
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazatlán have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Toluca have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 12, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Necaxa(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Club America(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy(home) | 4-2 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Club Queretaro(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mazatlán win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Toluca 3-1 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Mazatlán 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Mazatlán 1-3 Toluca | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Toluca 3-0 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Mazatlán 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Mazatlán score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazatlán | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Toluca | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy