Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Adanaspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 22Kick-off on February 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, Mardin
The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Adanaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Adanaspor?
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (1,591 vs 1,344).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Adanaspor have 0, 0 and 15.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diyarbekirspor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-6 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(home) | 1-8 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Somaspor(away) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Adanaspor score 0.1 and concede 5.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Adanaspor | 0.1 | 5.3 | 0 | 2/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Adanaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Adanaspor.
- Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Adanaspor played?
- Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Adanaspor is played on February 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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