Match

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Adanaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 22Kick-off on February 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, Mardin

Mazıdağı FosfatsporAdanaspor

The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Adanaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Adanaspor?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (1,591 vs 1,344).

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win70 %
Draw19 %
Adanaspor win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Adanaspor have 0, 0 and 15.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)0-23. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)1-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 12, 2026Niğde Belediyesispor(away)1-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Kahramanmaraşspor(home)0-23. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026Diyarbekirspor(away)1-03. Lig - Group 2
Adanaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)0-62. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)0-12. Lig
Apr 4, 20261461 Trabzon FK(home)0-32. Lig
Mar 25, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(home)1-82. Lig
Mar 15, 2026Somaspor(away)0-52. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Adanaspor score 0.1 and concede 5.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor0.70.875/153/15
Adanaspor0.15.302/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Adanaspor?
The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Adanaspor.
Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Adanaspor played?
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Adanaspor is played on February 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor and Adanaspor

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