Where and when is Adanaspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor played?

Adanaspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Adanaspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana

Adanaspor

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Adanaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adanaspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (1,580 vs 1,334).

Adanaspor win23 %

Draw26 %

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adanaspor have 0 wins, 0 draws and 15 defeats; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adanaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	0-6	2. Lig
Apr 18, 2026	Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)	0-1	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	1461 Trabzon FK(home)	0-3	2. Lig
Mar 25, 2026	Aliağa FAŞ(home)	1-8	2. Lig
Mar 15, 2026	Somaspor(away)	0-5	2. Lig

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 12, 2026	Niğde Belediyesispor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Kahramanmaraşspor(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026	Diyarbekirspor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Adanaspor score 0.1 and concede 5.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Adanaspor	0.1	5.3	0	2/15	14/15
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	0.7	0.8	7	5/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adanaspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?: The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Adanaspor.
Where and when is Adanaspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor played?: Adanaspor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.