Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor played?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, Mardin

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor

The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,580) and Bitlis Özgüzelderespor (1,547).

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win48 %

Draw27 %

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Bitlis Özgüzelderespor have 3, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 12, 2026	Niğde Belediyesispor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Kahramanmaraşspor(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026	Diyarbekirspor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Sep 16, 2025	Karaköprü Belediyespor(away)	1-2	Türkiye Kupası
Oct 9, 2024	1954 Kelkit Belediyespor(home)	1-1	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 11, 2024	Hakkari Zapspor(home)	2-0	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 15, 2022	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away)	0-3	Türkiye Kupası
Aug 29, 2019	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	1-2	Türkiye Kupası

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 15, 2022	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 3-0 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	Türkiye Kupası

Last archived meeting: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor on Sep 15, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	0.7	0.8	7	5/15	3/15
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	1.3	1.5	2	5/8	5/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor?: The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor.
Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor played?: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.