Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor played?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, Mardin

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

Karaköprü Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Karaköprü Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,580) and Karaköprü Belediyespor (1,548).

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win53 %

Draw26 %

Karaköprü Belediyespor win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Karaköprü Belediyespor have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 12, 2026	Niğde Belediyesispor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Kahramanmaraşspor(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026	Diyarbekirspor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2

Karaköprü Belediyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026	Kapadokyaspor(home)	2-1	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away)	2-6	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 28, 2026	Ağrı 1970(home)	2-1	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 24, 2026	Kilis Belediyespor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Karaköprü Belediyespor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2026	Karaköprü Belediyespor 0-0 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	3. Lig - Group 2
Sep 21, 2025	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 1-0 Karaköprü Belediyespor	3. Lig - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Karaköprü Belediyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	0.7	0.8	7	5/15	3/15
Karaköprü Belediyespor	1.3	1.9	4	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor?: The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Karaköprü Belediyespor.
Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor played?: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.