Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Niğde Belediyesispor played?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Niğde Belediyesispor is played on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Niğde Belediyesispor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, Mardin

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

Niğde Belediyesispor

The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Niğde Belediyesispor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Niğde Belediyesispor?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,580) and Niğde Belediyesispor (1,531).

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win44 %

Draw28 %

Niğde Belediyesispor win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Niğde Belediyesispor have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 12, 2026	Niğde Belediyesispor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Kahramanmaraşspor(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026	Diyarbekirspor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2

Niğde Belediyesispor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)	4-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026	12 Bingölspor(home)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 25, 2026	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Niğde Belediyesispor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Niğde Belediyesispor 0-1 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	3. Lig - Group 2
Dec 16, 2025	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 2-0 Niğde Belediyesispor	3. Lig - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Niğde Belediyesispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Niğde Belediyesispor score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	0.7	0.8	7	5/15	3/15
Niğde Belediyesispor	1.6	1.3	3	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Niğde Belediyesispor?: The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Niğde Belediyesispor.
Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Niğde Belediyesispor played?: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Niğde Belediyesispor is played on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.