Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Osmaniyespor played?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Osmaniyespor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Osmaniyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, Mardin

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

Osmaniyespor

The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Osmaniyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Osmaniyespor?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,580) and Osmaniyespor (1,525).

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win54 %

Draw26 %

Osmaniyespor win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Osmaniyespor have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 12, 2026	Niğde Belediyesispor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Kahramanmaraşspor(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026	Diyarbekirspor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2

Osmaniyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026	12 Bingölspor(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away)	1-3	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 28, 2026	Kapadokyaspor(home)	3-3	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 24, 2026	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Osmaniyespor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 11, 2026	Osmaniyespor 0-3 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	3. Lig - Group 2
Sep 7, 2025	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 1-0 Osmaniyespor	3. Lig - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Osmaniyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor on Jan 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Osmaniyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	0.7	0.8	7	5/15	3/15
Osmaniyespor	1.3	1.7	3	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Osmaniyespor?: The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Osmaniyespor.
Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Osmaniyespor played?: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Osmaniyespor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.