Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor played?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 24Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, Mardin

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

Yeni Malatyaspor

The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Yeni Malatyaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (1,591 vs 1,344).

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win68 %

Draw20 %

Yeni Malatyaspor win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Yeni Malatyaspor have 0, 2 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 12, 2026	Niğde Belediyesispor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Kahramanmaraşspor(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026	Diyarbekirspor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2

Yeni Malatyaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 8, 2025	Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)	0-0	2. Lig
Nov 2, 2025	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu(away)	1-3	2. Lig
Oct 25, 2025	1461 Trabzon FK(home)	0-4	2. Lig
Oct 19, 2025	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	1-3	2. Lig
Oct 11, 2025	Aliağa FAŞ(away)	1-8	2. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Malatyaspor score 0.6 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	0.7	0.8	7	5/15	3/15
Yeni Malatyaspor	0.6	4.5	1	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?: The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Yeni Malatyaspor.
Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor played?: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.