Mbarara City vs Express: result 2-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kakyeka Stadium, Mbarara
Full time
What was the result of Mbarara City vs Express?
Mbarara City won 2-1 on April 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 10′639040Mbarara City
- 17′Kenneth KimeraExpress
- 57′I. AmanyaMbarara City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbarara City have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Express have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | NEC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Maroons(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Police(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 9, 2026 | UPDF(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2026 | BUL(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | BUL(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2026 | NEC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2026 | UPDF(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Police(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | URA(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mbarara City win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Express win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | Express 4-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| May 16, 2025 | Mbarara City 2-0 Express | Premier League |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Express 3-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Mbarara City 3-1 Express | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Express 0-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Mar 25, 2022 | Mbarara City 0-0 Express | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Express vs Mbarara City on Nov 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mbarara City score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Express score 0.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbarara City | 0.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Express | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbarara City sit 12th in Premier League (27 points from 30 matches) and Express sit 10th (37 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Express | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 31 | 37 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 46 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy