Mbarara City vs NEC: result 0-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on November 1, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kakyeka Stadium, Mbarara
Full time
What was the result of Mbarara City vs NEC?
NEC won 0-1 on November 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 55′Allan MugaluNEC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbarara City have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; NEC have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | Kitara(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | BUL(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | UPDF(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Police(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2025 | Maroons(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Entebbe UPPC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Police(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2025 | URA(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Nairobi United(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Nairobi United(home) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Mbarara City win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 NEC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2025 | Mbarara City 1-2 NEC | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NEC 1-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NEC 2-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Mbarara City 0-1 NEC | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mbarara City score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; NEC score 1.6 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbarara City | 0.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| NEC | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbarara City sit 12th in Premier League (27 points from 30 matches) and NEC sit 6th (51 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | NEC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31 | 22 | 51 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 46 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy