URA vs UPDF: result 3-2 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 29, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mehta Stadium, Lugazi
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What was the result of URA vs UPDF?
URA won 3-2 on October 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 24′Moses AliroURA
- 26′Samson KigoziUPDF
- 44′George MasembeURA
- 57′Samuel SsekamatteUPDF (pen.)
- 76′Moses AliroURA (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, URA have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; UPDF have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | Lugazi(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Express(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2025 | NEC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | BUL(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2025 | NEC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | Maroons(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Mbarara City(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Express(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2025 | BUL(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 15, 2025 | Police(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 URA win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 UPDF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | URA 2-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2024 | UPDF 0-0 URA | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2024 | URA 1-0 UPDF | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | UPDF 0-0 URA | Premier League |
| May 12, 2023 | URA 1-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2022 | UPDF 1-1 URA | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
URA score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| URA | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| UPDF | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
URA sit 11th in Premier League (31 points from 30 matches) and UPDF sit 14th (22 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | URA | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27 | 30 | 31 |
| 14 | UPDF | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 41 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy