URA vs UPDF: result 3-2 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 29, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mehta Stadium, Lugazi
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What was the result of URA vs UPDF?
URA won 3-2 on October 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 24′Moses AliroURA
- 26′Samson KigoziUPDF
- 44′George MasembeURA
- 57′Samuel SsekamatteUPDF (pen.)
- 76′Moses AliroURA (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, URA have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; UPDF have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | Lugazi(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Express(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2025 | NEC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | BUL(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2025 | NEC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | Maroons(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Mbarara City(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Express(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2025 | BUL(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 15, 2025 | Police(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 URA wins, 4 draws, 0 UPDF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | URA 2-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2024 | UPDF 0-0 URA | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2024 | URA 1-0 UPDF | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | UPDF 0-0 URA | Premier League |
| May 12, 2023 | URA 1-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2022 | UPDF 1-1 URA | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
URA score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| URA | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| UPDF | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
URA sit 15th in Premier League (4 points from 5 matches) and UPDF sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | UPDF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 15 | URA | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
A question about URA vs UPDF?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy