Match

BAK '07 vs Mecklenburg Schwerin: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Poststadion, Berlin

BAK '07Mecklenburg Schwerin

The Footlab model makes BAK '07 the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Mecklenburg Schwerin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BAK '07 vs Mecklenburg Schwerin?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate BAK '07 (1,711) and Mecklenburg Schwerin (1,622).

BAK '07 win46 %
Draw23 %
Mecklenburg Schwerin win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BAK '07 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Mecklenburg Schwerin have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BAK '07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Reinickendorfer Fuchse(home)2-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026Optik Rathenow(away)0-0Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jul 17, 2026BFC Dynamo(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026Neustrelitz(away)1-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
May 17, 2026Union Klosterfelde(home)3-0Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Mecklenburg Schwerin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Sparta Lichtenberg(away)1-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026Makkabi(home)2-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jan 10, 2024Hansa Rostock II(away)1-5Friendlies Clubs
Jun 10, 2023Makkabi(away)0-4Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jun 3, 2023Optik Rathenow(home)1-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

How many goals should we expect?

BAK '07 score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mecklenburg Schwerin score 1.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
BAK '071.32.147/1510/15
Mecklenburg Schwerin1.32.5111/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BAK '07 sit 4th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (4 points from 2 matches) and Mecklenburg Schwerin sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Mecklenburg Schwerin2110324
4BAK '072110214

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BAK '07 vs Mecklenburg Schwerin?
The Footlab model makes BAK '07 the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Mecklenburg Schwerin.
Where and when is BAK '07 vs Mecklenburg Schwerin played?
BAK '07 vs Mecklenburg Schwerin is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Poststadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: BAK '07 and Mecklenburg Schwerin

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