BAK '07 vs Mecklenburg Schwerin: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Poststadion, Berlin
The Footlab model makes BAK '07 the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Mecklenburg Schwerin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BAK '07 vs Mecklenburg Schwerin?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate BAK '07 (1,711) and Mecklenburg Schwerin (1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BAK '07 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Mecklenburg Schwerin have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Optik Rathenow(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 17, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Neustrelitz(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Makkabi(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Makkabi(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Optik Rathenow(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
BAK '07 score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mecklenburg Schwerin score 1.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAK '07 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Mecklenburg Schwerin | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BAK '07 sit 4th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (4 points from 2 matches) and Mecklenburg Schwerin sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mecklenburg Schwerin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | BAK '07 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BAK '07 vs Mecklenburg Schwerin?
- The Footlab model makes BAK '07 the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Mecklenburg Schwerin.
- Where and when is BAK '07 vs Mecklenburg Schwerin played?
- BAK '07 vs Mecklenburg Schwerin is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Poststadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026FC Lok StendalvsLichtenberg
- Sep 13, 2026Eintracht MahlsdorfvsSparta Lichtenberg
- Sep 13, 2026Hertha ZehlendorfvsSiedenbollentin
- Sep 13, 2026NeustrelitzvsReinickendorfer Fuchse
- Sep 13, 2026Tennis BorussiavsAnker Wismar
- Sep 13, 2026MakkabivsHansa Rostock II
- Sep 13, 2026Union KlosterfeldevsOptik Rathenow